The last card

It seems that Zarqawi and his group are running out of ways to sabotage the political process so he decided to play his last card, the civil war.

To those who don’t know much about Iraq, its population is divided mostly between Arabs and Kurds and the majorities of them are Muslims and belong to the main Islamic two sects in Iraq Sunni and Shi'at. The estimated rates are (60% Shi'at Arabs, 20% Sunni Arabs and 20% Kurds) and there are too many ethnic and religious groups that I didn’t mention because I want to focus on the active sects in Iraq.

Zarqawi depends on the 20% Sunni Arabs and is trying to provoke them to start the civil war in Iraq and in his last statement he declared war on Shi'at hoping to drag Shi'at to the war but he didn’t declare war on Kurds because the majority of Kurds are Sunni Muslims and he don’t want to fall in contradiction by declaring war on his sect of Islam (Sunni) although the Kurds support the "American Occupation" by all means because the American protected the Kurds during Saddam's regime.

I don’t know how Zarqawi wants to win the war and I guess he doesn't care about that the outcome of the war all he cares about is to start the civil war, on the other hand the Shi'at community led by the Sistany (the chief cleric of Shi'at in the Islamic world) refuse to be dragged to war in spite of the bloody attacks done against them and the Sistany made it clear when he said that "we wont go to war even if half of the Shi'at got killed in Iraq"
The big difference between the insanity of Zarqawi and the sanity of Sistany is what the Iraqis count on to avoid the civil war and to propel the political process and have peace in Iraq.
One important question left that anyone might ask "does Zarqawi represent the Sunni Arab in Iraq?" there are too many details to answer this question but in the end the answer will be no, but I will try to clear few things out.

First, there is no real representation for Sunni Arabs in Iraq because all the three major powers in Sunni world in Iraq "Association of Muslims Scholars, The Iraqi Islamic Party and The Fatwa and Preaching Board) don’t represent the Sunni but they affect them through the mosques.

Second, those powers have connections with the terrorist groups in one way or another and they use the terrorists to put pressure on the government to gain some political benefits.

Third, those powers lack the political wisdom because they boycotted the first elections in Iraq saying "no elections under occupation" they bet that the whole political process will go down if all the Sunni boycotted the elections and most of them did because they were under threat, but when they saw that the process is going on and the elections succeeded they changed their minds and now they are willing to go to the elections this year although the "occupation" is still the same!!

I guess you can see that for a regular Sunni person living in Iraq he will be between two hammers; the three Sunni power centers and Zarqawi and they are two faces for the same coin and if the Sunni Arabs keep surrendering to those powers they will be the firewood used to keep the blood stream in Iraq flowing and they have to notice that those groups don’t have any project but to object on anything the government proposes and to keep the killing alive.

We truly hope that no civil war will take place in Iraq and the Sunni Arabs will wake up some day because in civil war there are no winners at all.